Friday 10/02/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 10/02/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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NCAAF WRITE-UP

Week 5

Friday's games

Pitt hammered Louisville 41-7 LY, snapping 7-game series skid, but Pitt lost its first game 38-31 last week, giving up 530 yards at NC State. Pitt has given up 65 points in pair of road games. Cardinals lost their last two games, at Kentucky (31-27), Utah (30-14). Panthers are 5-3 in last eight games as road favorite. Louisville is 4-2 as home dog this decade, but 4-8 vs spread in game following a loss.

BYU won its last nine games over Utah State, taking last two by total of 72-14; Cougars gave up 77 points in last two games, allowing 7.5 ypp to Colorado State's freshman QB last week. Mountain West home favorites are 1-4 vs spread in non-league games. WAC road dogs are 8-5. Aggies are 11-5 in last 16 games as road dog, losing away games by 18-8 points this season. BYU is 9-4 in last 13 tries as home favorite.
 

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guys if you middle games u need to bet the U today +8 at game time OU will be a 4.5 fav. Bradford out!!!
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (+132, 10)

After a season off ups and downs, the Toronto Blue Jays are trying to finish 2009 on the up side.

The Blue Jays have won six straight games and nine of their last 10 – including a three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox. Heading into this final series of the schedule, Toronto’s bats have found the form that led them to such a great start to the season.

"The guys are swinging the bats like they did at the start of the season," manager Cito Gaston told MLB.com. "It's something positive to take home and bring back next year."

The Jay are hitting .305 and averaging more than seven runs per game in the last week. Versus the Red Sox, they scored a combined 31 runs and hit 12 home runs over those three games.

They have won five straight games against the Orioles and lead the season series 8-6. Toronto is hitting .277 versus Baltimore and has scored almost five runs per game over those contests.

Pick: Toronto -140


Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

While going on a hot streak at the end of a 55-103 season won’t save face, the Washington Nationals are set on going out like winners in 2009. The Nats come into this season finale series with the Braves off a three-game sweep of the New York Mets.

Washington completed the sweep with a walk-off Grand Slam off the bat of Justin Maxwell in front of their die-hard fans in D.C. Wednesday. That home run snapped a skid of 150 losses when trailing after eight innings for the Nationals. It’s not much when looking back at the year they’ve had, but it’s a start.

"There is no way I could explain how good a feeling that is," Nationals interim manager Jim Riggleman told MLB.com. "The fans' excitement, and the players' excitement speaks for themselves.

"It's just indicative of what we have been doing. We have been playing hard. Guys have been battling. It seems we had so many games where we were in those situations -- win or lose. If they were down early, they really hung in there and gave us quality at-bats to get in the game. It has been so many nights. That excitement there is what is in store for the future here."

Washington will ride that momentum into this final series in Atlanta, which dropped two of three games to the Marlins this week and have dropped them four games out of the NL Wild Card spot.

Pick: Washington
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

C.C. Sabathia, New York Yankees

The Detroit Tigers have to be shaking in their spikes knowing that they’ll face C.C. Sabathia in one of the first two games of the postseason.

The Yankees hefty lefty has been untouchable in the second half of the season. Since the All-Star break, Sabathia is 11-1 with a 2.36 ERA in 14 starts. He has totaled 99 strikeouts during this span while giving just 24 batters a free pass to first.

In his most recent appearance, Sabathia went seven innings for his second straight shutout effort. He hasn’t allowed a run in his last 19 innings of work and owns a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts.

Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels

Weaver is itching for the playoffs to start. The way he’s been performing, no one – not even the Boston Red Sox – have a chance. Now if the offense could just help him out.

The Halos right-hander has been dealt three straight losses despite posting a 3.72 ERA in that span. Weaver has put in six quality starts in a row and has a record of 2-3 in the past month.

In his last start, Weaver went six innings, allowing two runs on six hits. However, Los Angeles managed to give him nothing back in way of support and registered just five hits in a loss to the Oakland A’s last Friday.


Slumping

Jason Berken, Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles rookie hurler is running on empty at the end of the season. Berken has been knocked around for a total of 15 runs in his last three starts, going 1-1 with an ERA north of 10.00.

The team moved his start back a day to give the righty an extra day of rest. His last start was a nightmare outing against the Cleveland Indians. Berken left his pitches hanging over the plate and was beat up for four runs including two home runs in under four innings of work.

Jeremy Sowers, Cleveland Indians

Sowers has been pure sour in his recent trips to the bump.

The Tribe’s southpaw has allowed 11 total runs in his last two starts after putting together a shutout effort against the Twins in the middle of September. Since that gem, he’s lasted just six total innings and has walked five batters in that span.

His most recent appearance lasted just one innings, which was long enough for Sowers to serve up two home runs and five runs on six hits.
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Friday, October 2

Hot Pitchers
-- Gorzelanny is 3-0, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 3-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
-- Rodriguez has a 2.93 RA in his last six starts.
-- Cardinals won eight of last ten Wainwright starts.
-- Correia is 4-0, 1.90 in his last six starts.
-- Wolf has a 2.45 RA in his last nine starts.

-- Peavy is 2-0, 2.25 in two starts for the White Sox.
-- Purcey is 1-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 2-1, 1.96 in three starts since coming off the DL.
-- Sabathia is 8-0, 1.88 in his last ten starts. Price has 2.74 RA in his last eight home starts.
-- Snell is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Buckner is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three road starts.
-- Vanden Hurk has a 5.06 RA in his last five starts.
-- Lehr has a 7.83 RA in his last six starts. McCutchen is 0-2, 4.80 in five starts for the Pirates.
-- Maine is 1-3, 8.10 in his last four starts.
-- Lowe has a 6.75 RA in his last four starts. Hernandez is 1-2, 7.31 in his last three starts.
-- Looper has an 8.71 RA in his last four starts.
-- Zito is 1-2, 5.55 in his last five starts.
-- Jimenez is 1-2, 6.48 in his last three starts.

-- Jackson has a 5.16 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Berken has a 9.33 RA in his last four starts.
-- Sowers has a 16.50 RA in his last two starts.
-- Manship is 0-1, 9.28 in his last three starts. Dinardo is 0-2, 9.30 in four starts for the Royals.
-- GGonzalez has 6.41 RA in his last five home starts. Weaver is 0-3, 4.66 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-2, 5.91 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won 11 of their last 16 road games. Phillies won 11 of last 15 home games.
-- Reds won eight of their last ten games.
-- Nationals won their last four games, allowing nine runs.
-- Rockies won last four games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Pirates won four of their last five games.
-- Padres won eight of their last 11 home games. Giants won last four games, outscoring foes 24-9.

-- Tigers won seven of their last eleven games. White Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Toronto won its last six games, scoring 46 games.
-- Twins won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Bronx won seven of its last eight games. Rays won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last eight home games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten games. Cubs lost three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Braves lost last three games, after winning 15 of previous 16.
-- Brewers lost last four games, allowing 32 runs.
-- Astros lost 13 of their last 17 games. Mets lost seven of last nine.
-- Dodgers lost their last four games, scoring seven runs.

-- Orioles are 1-13 in their last 14 games.
-- Indians lost their last 12 road games. Red Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers lost 12 of their last 18 games.
-- Oakland lost its last four games, outscored 24-10.

Totals
-- Six of Cubs' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Vanden Hurk starts went over the total.
-- Last six Lehr starts went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Rodriguez starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Lowe starts went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Looper starts.
-- Four of last five Correia starts stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 11 Jimenez starts stayed under the total.

-- Three of last four Jackson starts went over the total.
-- Last six Berken starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Matsuzaka starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Sabathia's last six road starts.
-- Three of four Dinardo starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Weaver's last six starts.
-- Nine of last eleven Texas games went over the total.
 
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Michael Cannon

Take the points with Louisville tonight at home over Pitt.

Pitt is the better team but I have serious doubts about the defense.

The Panthers allowed a pedestrian NC State offense to amass 530 yards in last week’s 38-31 road loss. Now Pitt has to turn around on a short week and travel again.

Louisville isn’t nearly as explosive as they were in years past, but Pitt won’t be able to keep them in check and that will allow the Cardinals to stay close here.

Pitt is on an 0-13 ATS slide as a road chalk of six points or more. Dave Wannstedt is just 2-7 ATS as a chalk coming off a loss, including 0-4 SUATS if he’s a favorite of less than 10 points.

Louisville coach Steve Kragthorpe is 7-3 ATS as a home dog.

Take the points with Louisville as they stay within the number at home.
2♦ LOUISVILLE
 
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Dominic Fazzini

I'm 3-1 on my last four complimentary selections after the Red Sox's 3-0 victory over Cleveland as a run-line play. I'm carrying that momentum into MLB's final weekend of the regular season as I back the A's tonight against the Angels.

I'm disregarding the impact Los Angeles starter Jered Weaver is going to have on this game, as manager Mike Scioscia is going to pull the right-hander after 40 of so pitches, just as John Lackey came out of Thursday's game early, in order to keep him fresh for the playoffs.

That means lesser pitchers such as Rafael Rodriguez, Kevin Jepsen, Jose Arredondo and Jason Bulger are going to get the bulk of the work on the mound against Oakland.

A's rookie Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 5.73 ERA) dominated the Angels in his last start, on Sept. 25, giving up just four hits in 6 1/3 scoreless innings.

Again, Scioscia is going to be shuffling players into the lineup like it's spring training, meaning Gonzalez isn't going to be facing Los Angeles' regular lineup for more than an at-bat or two. Instead, the likes of Brandon Wood, Rob Quinlan, Chris Petit, Freddy Sandoval, Terry Evans and Bobby Wilson are going to be standing in the batter's box against the left-hander by the fourth inning.

Oakland went 17-10 in September, and is looking to end its season on a positive note. The Angels are focused on how to beat the Red Sox starting next week, and will be using this weekend as a chance to get their regulars energized for the ALDS. Go with the A's to get the victory tonight.
2♦ OAKLAND
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Delivered the FREE winner for my clients on Thursday as we told you Southern Mississippi was caught in a trap game as they went to play UAB and not only did the Blazers cover, but they won it outright. Today's comp winner is on the diamond as I go with the Giants in San Diego against the Padres.

San Francisco has Barry Zito on the hill today looking to finish off a resurgence of a season for himself. The Giants are the play today as we're getting plus-money with Zito.

Zito (10-13, 4.10) has allowed more than three earned runs in a start just once in his last 10 games, and that came on Saturday when the Cubs got him for four runs in four innings of a 6-2 loss. He's seen San Diego five times this season, holding the Padres to three runs or less three of the five outings, including September 9 when he gave up three runs in five innings.

Kevin Correia (12-10, 3.94) has been wonderful lately, going 2-0 in his last three outings with a 0.81 ERA. He's had back-to-back shutouts against the D'Backs and Pirates and is having a tough time letting go of the baseball season.

San Francisco has won four in a row overall but they've dropped three of four to the Padres. The Giants are on runs of 9-3 against right-handers, 4-1 in series openers, 5-2 when Zito faces a team on the road with a losing record and 7-3 on the highway against teams with a losing mark. San Diego is just 8-18 when coming in after an off-day and 2-5 in series openers.

This game means nothing in the standings, but it means something to the pitching staffs. Play Zito and the Giants to get the best of San Diego tonight.
3♦ SAN FRANCISCO
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline
We are on a 41-26-4 comp play run the last 71 days.

For Friday night, we will go with the Houston Astros as they take on the NY Mets.

Both teams have been stumbling to the finish line with the Astros just 3-13 their last 15 games, but the Mets aren't much better at 2-7 their last 9 at home.

The difference tonight is Wandy Rodriguez who is fresh off a win over Cincinnati in which he worked 6 innings of 2 run ball to improve to 14-11 for the season. With a chance to notch win # 15, look for the southpaw to step up big tonight against John Maine who just allowed 7 runs in 5 innings for a loss at Florida his last trip to the bump.

We will side with Houston as the road favorite as Mr. Rodriguez gets to win # 15.

Play on the 'Stros.
1♦ HOUSTON
 
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MLB LONG SHEET

Friday, October 2

ARIZONA (68 - 91) at CHICAGO CUBS (82 - 76) - 2:20 PM
BILLY BUCKNER (R) vs. TOM GORZELANNY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 82-89 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 25-47 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 13-29 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ARIZONA is 68-91 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 66-93 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-27 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ARIZONA is 68-91 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 16-30 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-76 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 66-61 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-37 (-5.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 524-488 (-105.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-76 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 558-502 (-114.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

BILLY BUCKNER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

TOM GORZELANNY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GORZELANNY is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

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FLORIDA (85 - 74) at PHILADELPHIA (92 - 67) - 7:05 PM
RICK VANDENHURK (R) vs. JOE BLANTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-34 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 195-140 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-9 (+15.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 191-136 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BLANTON is 49-36 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BLANTON is 15-4 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 118-109 (+12.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 25-17 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
FLORIDA is 44-39 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FLORIDA is 21-16 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 85-74 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 92-73 (+21.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 42-35 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
FLORIDA is 44-28 (+25.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 30-17 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 16-9 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 60-57 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
FLORIDA is 40-29 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 82-71 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 62-51 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-17 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-27 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 7-8 (+0.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

RICK VANDENHURK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VANDENHURK is 0-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 9.49 and a WHIP of 2.109.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

JOE BLANTON vs. FLORIDA since 1997
BLANTON is 4-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.109.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

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PITTSBURGH (61 - 97) at CINCINNATI (76 - 83) - 7:10 PM
DANIEL MCCUTCHEN (R) vs. JUSTIN LEHR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 13-40 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 26-50 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 11-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 61-97 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 18-36 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 11-28 (-15.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-56 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 6-26 (-17.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-50 (-22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 60-95 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 43-71 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 75-81 (+4.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 54-54 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 58-58 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 42-29 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 19-11 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
CINCINNATI is 76-83 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 44-33 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 256-275 (-61.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 3-15 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 11-4 (+7.1 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.8 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

DANIEL MCCUTCHEN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MCCUTCHEN is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JUSTIN LEHR vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEHR is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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HOUSTON (74 - 85) at NY METS (67 - 92) - 7:10 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JOHN MAINE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 83-76 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 160-160 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 118-65 (+28.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 156-158 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 117-120 (+6.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 67-92 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 39-66 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 67-92 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 127-113 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

JOHN MAINE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MAINE is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (56 - 103) at ATLANTA (86 - 73) - 7:35 PM
LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DEREK LOWE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 10-5 (+2.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.2 Units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 6-15 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.467.
His team's record is 8-20 (-9.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-13. (+0.8 units)

DEREK LOWE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOWE is 6-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 8-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.3 units)

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MILWAUKEE (77 - 82) at ST LOUIS (91 - 68) - 8:15 PM
BRADEN LOOPER (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 25-44 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 77-82 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 77-79 (-6.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 56-64 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 177-144 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-40 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 122-94 (+18.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 49-25 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 177-144 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 85-31 (+26.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997.
WAINWRIGHT is 38-15 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 26-7 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 20-7 (+9.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 38-15 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 27-11 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LOOPER is 10-4 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LOOPER is 16-8 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LOOPER is 16-7 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-6 (+2.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.6 Units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LOOPER is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 5-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (86 - 73) at SAN DIEGO (74 - 85) - 10:05 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 74-85 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 55-59 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-36 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-41 (+6.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 20-22 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN DIEGO is 74-85 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CORREIA is 19-13 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 21-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 19-13 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 14-10 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 10-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-49 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 64-53 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-30 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-73 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 72-69 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-73 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ZITO is 78-46 (+29.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZITO is 20-15 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZITO is 11-6 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZITO is 13-6 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 9-6 (+4.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.6 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
ZITO is 3-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 6-8 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-8. (-3.6 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CORREIA is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (91 - 68) at LA DODGERS (93 - 66) - 10:10 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 12-3 (+9.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
JIMENEZ is 4-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.42 and a WHIP of 1.665.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-1. (+8.1 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. COLORADO since 1997
WOLF is 5-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.336.
His team's record is 8-4 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.7 units)

==============================================

CHI WHITE SOX (77 - 82) at DETROIT (85 - 74) - 7:05 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-7 (+0.7 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.5 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. DETROIT since 1997
PEAVY is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
JACKSON is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.766.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (75 - 84) at BALTIMORE (61 - 98) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PURCEY (L) vs. JASON BERKEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 26-43 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 56-69 (-37.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 41-35 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-82 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-69 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-42 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 7-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BALTIMORE is 61-98 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 502-552 (-118.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 5-15 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 43-98 (-38.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-6 (+1.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

DAVID PURCEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PURCEY is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JASON BERKEN vs. TORONTO since 1997
BERKEN is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (65 - 94) at BOSTON (92 - 67) - 7:10 PM
JEREMY SOWERS (L) vs. DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 58-83 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 40-61 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 48-71 (-24.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-52 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 65-94 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 175-109 (+31.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 81-38 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 93-50 (+27.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 111-53 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MATSUZAKA is 19-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 318-290 (-52.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+1.6 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

JEREMY SOWERS vs. BOSTON since 1997
SOWERS is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.48 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 2-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (102 - 57) at TAMPA BAY (82 - 77) - 7:38 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 113-58 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 123-66 (+34.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 112-55 (+34.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-16 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 85-63 (+22.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 67-34 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 53-30 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 102-57 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 58-54 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-30 (-10.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 36-40 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-45 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-28 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 82-77 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 10-5 (+2.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.2 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SABATHIA is 7-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.082.
His team's record is 9-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.5 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.028.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (65 - 94) at MINNESOTA (83 - 76) - 8:10 PM
LENNY DINARDO (L) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-6 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.4 Units)

LENNY DINARDO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DINARDO is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 2.100.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
LIRIANO is 2-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-4 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (94 - 65) at OAKLAND (75 - 84) - 10:05 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WEAVER is 4-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 68-78 (+0.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 56-55 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 75-84 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 87-57 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 67-49 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 34-17 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 79-49 (+23.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 44-25 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA ANGELS are 94-65 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 45-33 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 12-2 (+11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 196-145 (+42.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 7-9 (+1.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WEAVER is 2-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 3-7 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.3 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 2-0 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (86 - 73) at SEATTLE (83 - 76) - 10:10 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. IAN SNELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 78-68 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 58-55 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 55-46 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 33-33 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 83-76 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 39-33 (+6.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 46-32 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 63-54 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 57-46 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 45-44 (+6.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 63-63 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 86-73 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 77-82 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 83-67 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 81-78 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 10-6 (+4.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

IAN SNELL vs. TEXAS since 1997
SNELL is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
 

New member
Joined
Sep 25, 2009
Messages
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guys if you middle games u need to bet the U today +8 at game time OU will be a 4.5 fav. Bradford out!!!

theyve already known this, the line will stay strong at 7. the kid for oklahoma has been lights out, and its better that bradfords not in there, hed be a lil rusty.... ive got big play on OK... miami aint ready for it baby
 

New member
Joined
Apr 3, 2009
Messages
4,065
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"The Big Dog" has a play today on louisville/pitt
anyone have this/can pick it up?
he's a new capper on demarco's site
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
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MLB SHORT SHEET

Friday, October 2

National League

ARIZONA at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM ET
BUCKNER: ARI 13-24 after a loss by 4+ runs
GORZELANNY: CHC 86-43 as a favorite of -125 to -175

FLORIDA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
VANDENHURK: FLA 11-2 AWAY after a one run win
BLANTON: PHI 5-10 at home with double revenge

PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
MCCUTCHEN: PIT 12-4 OVER revenging BB losses
LEHR: CIN 3-15 in October

HOUSTON at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
RODRIGUEZ: HOU 19-11 OVER against NL East
MAINE: NYM 25-40 when the money line is +125 to -125

WASHINGTON at ATLANTA, 7:35 PM ET
HERNANDEZ: WAS 12-3 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
LOWE: ATL 25-11 OVER off a one run division loss

MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET
LOOPER: 10-0 TSR after 2+ consecutive losses
WAINWRIGHT: STL 9-1 UNDER after shutting out their opponent

SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
ZITO: 6-0 TSR AWAY after BB wins
CORREIA: SD 12-3 UNDER at home after allowing 1 run or less

COLORADO at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
JIMENEZ: COL 25-9 revenging BB home losses
WOLF: LAD 8-2 UNDER when playing on Friday


American League

CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET ESPN
PEAVY: CHW 9-17 when playing on Friday
JACKSON: DET 4-0 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125

TORONTO at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
PURCEY: TOR 16-10 when the total is 10+
BERKEN: BAL 9-26 after 3+ consecutive unders

CLEVELAND at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
SOWERS: 5-19 TSR as a road underdog
MATSUZAKA: BOS 42-13 at home when the total is 10+

NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY, 7:38 PM ET
SABATHIA: NYY 55-26 after 1+ consecutive unders
PRICE: TB 15-4 UNDER as a home underdog

KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA, 8:10 PM ET
DINARDO: KC 6-19 when playing on Friday
LIRIANO: MIN 21-7 after scoring 8+ runs

LA ANGELS at OAKLAND, 10:05 PM ET
WEAVER: LAA 23-10 after 5+ consecutive home games
GONZALEZ: OAK 37-28 when the total is 8 to 8.5

TEXAS at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
MCCARTHY: 12-4 OVER in all games this season
SNELL: SEA 24-13 at home when the money line is +125 to -125
 

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